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‘… a man, woman, or child from any nation on Earth being on the Moon or any other planet, star, or heavenly body of comparable distance from the Earth before January 1971.’Many prominent actors have publicly voiced their support for Elba, but the rumours have gradually been losing steam. With Craig’s decision to remain on board for Bond 25, it might still be some time before we see his rendition of 007, but he remains the third of fourth best placed candidate at most casinos, with odds between 7/1 and 8/1.The gambler’s fallacy has another name – the Monte Carlo fallacy. Some also call it the gambler’s paradox, but that is way out of context. Back in 1913, on one summer evening at Casino de Monte Carlo, one roulette wheel hit black 26 consecutive times. Millions of francs were lost by players who mistakenly believed that red was due. Knowing that the probability of red vs black is 50/50, they wrongly assumed a long streak of one colour hits was an unnatural deviation from the average, which had to correct itself. What did they get wrong?.
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